♠ Tuesday, March 09, 2004
Week Five Wrapup
Week five was up, in the range it's supposed to be up, but still leaves me a bit unsatisfied.
Week one was absolutely stellar, as I reported, going up (I believe) +$1377. Then, I gave it back and more during weeks two and three, but I've also said that I don't really have a good idea how much I lost. So, I started keeping a log for week four, and registered a small positive gain. And finally, in week five, I registered a gain I think of as "average."
But even though I'm winning, I am given to wonder if I am winning enough. In 500 hands or more a night, I feel like I should be winning more than the 3.5 BB/c, 2.21 BB/hr, that I have been.
Okay, I look at those numbers (I used PokerTracker to filter out sessions from before two weeks ago) and they don't actually seem that bad. Clearly I'm whining about nothing.
But I still want to improve my game. I look at posts like this one that I linked yesterday, and wonder how my game is. Specifically, my preflop raise percentage is lower than the author (responder, really) suggests is appropriate.
I think sometime (later tonight, probably) I'll post up my PokerTracker "more details" for comments. I'll filter it for the last five weeks, or maybe less; there's a few hands of $5/$10, 50¢/$1, $1/$2, $1/$2 6-max, and others which would skew my stats.
Maybe I was wrong about the fish growing up. I'm on a couple of $3/$6 tables right now, and seeing a lot of loose-passive players. Maybe my initial thoughts about playing after midnight are incorrect; maybe the worse players, the recreational players, are playing during the evening. Which makes sense. (Actually, I look where PokerTracker keeps track of how you do by time of day, or day of week, and it's clear that I don't have enough of a statistical universe to draw any kind of conclusions. At all.)
I'm going to attempt an HTML table, here, rather than my usual fixed-width font table--it's got to be easier than replacing spaces with 's to make the table line up.
|3/2||PP MTT||11PM 3/1||Limit||- 55.00||Finish 196th|
|Little River||3:30PM||Limit||- 40.00||Tourney, Finish ~25th|
|PP C.R.9547||9:15P-9:45||$3/$6||- 77.00|
|PP C.R.3043||9:15P-9:50||$3/$6||- 28.00|
|3/2 TOTAL: -200.00|
|3/3||PP C.R.4222||7:35P-8:55||$3/$6||- 34.00|
|PP C.R.2686||7:35P-8:35||$3/$6||- 31.50|
|PP C.R.1389||8:35P-8:50||$3/$6||- 13.00|
|3/3 TOTAL: - 78.50|
|3/4||PP C.R.3683||11:30A-11:55||$3/$6||- 12.00||Server Reset|
|PP C.R.3715||11:30A-11:55||$3/$6||- 89.00||Server Reset|
|PP Over the Horizon||8:30P-9:35||$3/$6||- 28.00||moore00--tough|
|PP It's Your Life||9:40P-2:10A||$3/$6||+125.63|
|3/4 TOTAL: +125.63|
|3/5||PP Bellarista||8:00P-8:35||$3/$6||- 42.00|
|PP A nony loves a...||8:00P-9:00||$3/$6||- 61.50|
|PP French Fries||8:35P-9:10||$3/$6||- 29.75|
|PP Connecting Vibes||9:00P-10:40||$3/$6||+ 61.50|
|PP Jumpin Jacks||9:40P-11:25||$3/$6||+ 4.25|
|PP Gallopin Goose...||10:45P-11:20||$3/$6||- 25.00|
|PP High Hopes||12:40A-5:30||$3/$6||+254.00||$100 rally at end|
|PP Gold Canyon||12:40A-1:05||$3/$6||- 24.00|
|PP cuckoo's nest||1:05A-5:30||$3/$6||+295.75||Deck hit me Huge|
|3/5 TOTAL: +268.75|
|3/6||PP Jumpin Jacks||1:10A-2:20 (3/7)||$3/$6||- 56.50|
|PP Peanuts||1:10A-2:00||$3/$6||+ 36.37||Hdouble on table|
|PP Brownies||2:05A-4:10||$3/$6||+ 12.75|
|PP Bohemian Rhapsody||2:15A-2:45||$3/$6||+ 52.00||Hdouble on table early|
|PP High Hopes||2:50A-3:00||$3/$6||- 23.00|
|PP Chimney Sweeper||3:00A-5:20||$3/$6||+ 16.50|
|PP Captain's Choice||4:10A-6:00||$3/$6||+ 27.50|
|PP Push and Pull||5:20A-6:00||$3/$6||- 92.75|
|3/6 TOTAL: - 27.13|
|3/7||PP Captain's Choice||12:10A-2:25(3/8)||$3/$6||- 63.00|
|PP Flombe||12:10A-1:45||$3/$6||- 25.50||Tight|
|PP Ice Cheese||1:15A-4:40||$3/$6||+312.00||Picked high avg pot table|
|PP On the rocks||2:30A-5:25||$3/$6||+ 71.00|
|PP Tbl 12795||4:40A-5:25||$3/$6||- 18.00|
|3/7 TOTAL: +276.60|
|3/8||PP Tick-tac-toe||~5P-?||50¢/$1||- 9.51||Omaha Hi-lo experiment|
|PP High Hopes||1:10A-2:10(3/9)||$3/$6||-108.00|
|PP Over the Horizon||1:10A-3:05||$3/$6||-156.00||Rebuy|
|PP On the Rocks||2:10A-6:45||$3/$6||+112.75|
|PP cuckoo's nest||3:10A-6:45||$3/$6||+ 60.75|
|3/8 TOTAL: -100.01|
|WEEK 5 TOTAL: +448.74|
|CUMULATIVE WEEKS 4-__ +687.74|
Whew! Okay, next time I see if Excel can generate HTML for a table ... this was, like, all hard, and stuff. I'm not sure this was any easier than the fixed-width tables I created the last couple of times. It looks better, though, at least after I see it and tweak it.
The immediate thing that one notices is that the trend seems mostly to be down ... except for a few big days, on a few big tables. I've noticed this when playing, too: My stack trends down, or fluctuates a bit with small pots, until I catch a big huge pot, and then I do the same from the new higher level. I don't know if that's normal; it seems to make sense, but I don't think any of the books I've seen have covered it.
The other thing I notice is a very high variance. Poker tracker reports, for the last two weeks, a Standard Deviation per Hour of $73.54, and a Standard Deviation per 100 Hands of $92.05. I don't know how this stacks up against other players; I'd be interested in hearing about their numbers. In fact, I'd be interested in comments generally. (I'll be posting my Summary a bit later tonight.)